scenario-war-room

原文涵盖的主题

• Scenario War Room
• Keywords
• Quick Start
• What This Is Not
• Framework: 6-Step Cascade Model
• Step 1: Define Scenario Variables (max 3)
• Step 2: Domain Impact Mapping
• Step 3: Cascade Effect Mapping

Model cascading what-if scenarios across all business functions. Not single-assumption stress tests — compound adversity that shows how one problem creates the next. scenario planning, war room, what-if analysis, risk modeling, cascading effects, compound risk, adversity planning, contingency planning, stress test, crisis planning, multi-variable scenario, pre-mortem Or describe the scenario in natural language: "What if we lose our top customer AND miss the Q3 fundraise?" "What if 3 engineers quit AND we need to ship by Q3?" "What if our market shrinks 30% AND a competitor raises $50M?" Not a single-assumption stress test (that's /executive-mentor:stress-test) Not financial modeling only — every function gets modeled Not worst-case-only — models 3 severity levels Not paralysis by analysis — outputs concrete hedges and triggers State each variable with: What changes — specific, quantified if possible Probability — your best estimate Timeline — when it hits For each variable, each relevant role models impact: | Domain | Owner | Models | |--------|-------|--------| | Cash & runway | CFO | Burn impact, runway change, bridge options | | Revenue | CRO | ARR gap, churn cascade risk, pipe

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