prediction-market-oracle-research
Research prediction markets as data sources or oracle signals for products, agents, dashboards, and corporate decision intelligence. Use for source-grounded analysis of market-implied probabilities, caveats, and integration patterns without investment advice. Use when evaluating prediction markets as a data source or oracle signal for a product, agent, or dashboard.
Target: Learning & research. Automatically collected · unverified.
Excerpt from the author’s documentation
Extracted from a fixed version of SKILL.md in its original language. This is the author’s documentation; installation, compatibility and runtime results have not been verified by this site.
Read the original English text
Topics in the source
- Prediction Market Oracle Research
- Guardrails
- Research Workflow
- Integration Patterns
- Output Contract
Use this skill when prediction markets are being considered as a data source, forecasting input, oracle-like signal, or decision-intelligence layer. Do not treat market prices as objective truth. Do not provide investment advice or trading recommendations. Separate venue mechanics, liquidity, incentives, and resolution rules from the implied signal. Call out manipulation, thin liquidity, stale markets, and ambiguous outcomes. For on-chain or execution-linked systems, run llm-trading-agent-security before granting any write authority. 1. Define the decision the signal is meant to inform. 2. Find relevant markets, events, tags, and venues. 3. Record market-implied probabilities with timestamps and source links. 4. Evaluate signal quality: liquidity spread market age trader/incentive concentration if known resolution authority geography or account restrictions 5. Compare against non-market sources such as filings, news, polls, research, customer data, or internal KPIs. 6. Recommend whether the signal is usable, weak, or unsuitable for the stated decision. Research assistant: source-grounded context for a human analyst. Dashboard signal: market-implied probability alongside internal me
This is an excerpt. Refer to the complete source and its current requirements.
- Source repository
- affaan-m/ECC
- Source file
- skills/prediction-market-oracle-research/SKILL.md
- Fixed revision
- d2ef2680594f9a17526a6e1a2e18b3d242c5d17b
Requirements
- Only the author’s Skill metadata is included. Read the full instructions to check dependencies, licensing and conditions of use.
A small first task
先阅读原作者说明，再决定是否在自己的 AI 工具中使用。
Instructions for your AI tool
- Claude Desktop: resource-specific guide not available yet
- Claude Code: resource-specific guide not available yet
- Cursor: resource-specific guide not available yet
- Codex: resource-specific guide not available yet
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Sources and evidence
This record was collected automatically. Its documentation, suitability and runtime behavior have not been manually verified.
Author: affaan-m/ECC · original repository metadata. Documentation review: Not reviewed. Last source check: 2026-11-09T15:01:44.216Z.
Categories are inferred from names, descriptions and paths. They do not establish compatibility.
License and attribution
MIT. Third-party content and copyright remain with their authors. Refer to the original license and terms.
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Limitations and notes
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